THE TAKEAWAY

Start with the customer outcome, trace the inputs and identify the constraint that could change the decision.

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Conceptual illustration for The AI Economy Map
AI-generated conceptual illustration · Illustrative, not a technical diagram.

Use this guide to: identify the dependencies needed to deliver a working AI service.

Start with the customer. Trace the system.

An AI application delivers a task, but its operation depends on a larger system. It may pay a model provider, which may buy cloud compute. A compute operator pays for equipment, facilities and electricity. Some firms own several stages, and open models or on-premises deployments create other routes. The OECD describes an interconnected compute supply chain spanning chips, data centers and cloud services. [2]

The six layers below are an AI Keeper teaching framework, not a formal market definition. They overlap. They complement the five analytical lenses across the site: infrastructure, energy, economics, geopolitics and business application.

What is sold, and who might buy it?
LayerTypical saleTypical buyer
Energy & gridElectricity and connection capacityData-center operators
FacilitiesPowered, cooled and connected spaceIT owners and cloud operators
Chips & systemsAccelerators, servers and networkingClouds and compute operators
Compute & cloudAccess to computing resourcesModel developers and business users
Models & toolingModel access and development toolsApplication builders and businesses
ApplicationsA task or business outcomeEnd users and organizations

A payment is not a margin.

Revenue records what a business receives. To understand its economics, identify what remains after the costs of delivery, what it owns and which risks it carries. Trace the customer's payment back through the inputs needed to fulfil the promise.

Find the constraint.

Ask for dated, specific evidence. For power, request a connection offer and complete tariff schedule. For the building, check cooling, rack density and connectivity against the intended workload. For hardware, confirm compatibility and delivery. For compute, distinguish installed capacity from paid use. For an application, define the task, acceptance criteria, human review and operating cost.

The IEA identifies grid constraints and energy-sector bottlenecks as issues for data-center expansion. [1] Our practical inference is to assess when usable power will be available alongside its price.

A worked example, with the assumptions exposed.

Assume 1,000 kW of installed IT capacity, an average electrical load factor of 80%, and 8,760 hours in a non-leap year. The load factor measures average power draw; it does not measure occupancy or billable utilization. Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) is total facility energy divided by IT equipment energy. [3] Here we assume a constant annual PUE.

Annual facility energy = IT capacity × electrical load factor × 8,760 × PUE

Illustrative assumptions and calculated results; not market quotes
Input / resultScenario AScenario B
IT capacity1,000 kW1,000 kW
Average electrical load80%80%
Annual PUE1.301.60
Assumed energy rate$0.06/kWh$0.09/kWh
Annual facility energy9,110,400 kWh11,212,800 kWh
Annual energy charge$546,624$1,009,152

The difference is $462,528 a year. Both the tariff and PUE change, so this comparison does not isolate either effect. It excludes capital spending, financing, fixed and demand charges, taxes, backup fuel, maintenance, connectivity and revenue. It cannot establish profitability or the preferred location.

Ten questions before the next commitment.

  1. Customer: Who pays, for which outcome, and how often?
  2. Dependency: Which external input can stop delivery?
  3. Power: How much usable power is documented, and from what date?
  4. Cost boundary: What is included in the quoted price?
  5. Workload: What does the customer task require technically?
  6. Demand: What evidence supports usage or purchase commitments?
  7. Delivery: Which permits, equipment and connections set the schedule?
  8. Quality: How will useful performance and errors be measured?
  9. Alternatives: What happens if a supplier, model or tariff changes?
  10. Decision: Which unresolved fact would change the next commitment?

Record each answer as documented, assumed or unresolved, alongside its evidence, owner and date. Resolve the issue most likely to change delivery, timing or unit economics before expanding the model.

Sources & scope

  1. IEA — Energy and AI (2025), Executive summary ↗

    Background on electricity supply and grid constraints; not a live forecast for a specific project.

  2. OECD — Competition in artificial intelligence infrastructure (2025) ↗

    Background on the interconnected AI infrastructure supply chain.

  3. The Green Grid — Power Usage Effectiveness ↗

    Definition of PUE. Scenario inputs on this site are our own illustrative assumptions.

Our analysis and practical questions are editorial interpretation. Sources provide the stated background, not an endorsement of our conclusions. This material is educational and does not assess a specific investment or establish a legal requirement.

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